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Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bpWill the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bp
CR

Will BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?

Consensus37.8%
Best YES37.3%JUP
Divergence58 bps
24h Volume$1.8M
Liquidity$8.3M
Resolves68d 05h 57m
Venues4
PolymarketPM37.9%
Jupiter PredictJUP37.3%BEST
Hyperliquid HIP-4HL37.7%
KalshiKAL37.6%
Consensus37.8%24h Vol$1.8MBestJUP 37.3%
AgeSideVenuePriceSharesTotalTrader
3sYESKAL38.2%17.7K$6,767P3xH…t39s
9sNOPM38.6%4.1K$1,596EZMf…brwt
48sNOPM38.3%1.1K$411Gh5r…JiTd
3mNOPM38.5%1.1K$410Fwo9…ZbUE
3mNOJUP38.0%3.8K$1,442R7ab…BEz3
4mNOKAL38.0%20.8K$7,893EM3u…rpk4
5mYESJUP37.4%5.9K$2,221sq8e…yXac
6mYESJUP37.2%345$128ZVSk…QnqA
6mYESPM38.0%405$154xqDM…nYcB
8mNOKAL37.1%35$13DjZP…bDu5
9mYESPM37.3%17.0K$6,3493z8m…dhfV
9mYESKAL37.1%4.9K$1,830495L…VGND
12mYESPM38.6%490$189t3Mv…Uvq2
13mNOJUP37.5%3.6K$1,349p2f6…aiPk
14mYESPM37.2%3.5K$1,301xr3B…oiR4
17mNOHL37.6%70$26hfJK…T8Ni
17mNOPM37.9%1.3K$480j9mx…CgSL
18mNOPM37.3%9.1K$3,388Q5rj…Jw3N
20mNOJUP37.5%16.9K$6,321gzXt…H35C
20mYESJUP38.0%8.5K$3,214mQGJ…UCUV
20mYESJUP36.8%13.8K$5,068NUSE…Dv1s
21mYESPM37.7%120$45SJbt…b982
23mYESHL38.0%35$13kPJM…d2Fn
23mNOPM38.4%9.9K$3,8076dkr…nRsW
23mNOJUP38.0%1.8K$689jrv4…QoFi
23mYESHL36.9%21.9K$8,087hfcK…rizf
25mNOKAL38.1%12.2K$4,659FtnS…wbDM
25mNOJUP37.6%2.0K$769y7qa…WUxb
27mYESHL37.0%885$327h8VS…8qnG
28mNOJUP37.0%2.6K$961GDnc…Xriu
28mNOJUP37.9%14.2K$5,376vM57…rdZu
28mNOJUP36.6%6.0K$2,1977VzV…BrbS
29mNOKAL38.3%4.1K$1,567K6iG…ZBTu
29mYESJUP37.0%15.3K$5,6724CJj…X9KP
29mYESKAL36.9%100$37iMu2…UwSW
33mNOHL37.6%2.0K$738JzMv…yRmg
37mYESPM37.8%11.9K$4,4876TJ5…5cbg
37mYESPM38.7%3.3K$1,2637JkX…uVYj
38mNOJUP37.0%22.9K$8,458PCeA…xqqJ
38mYESPM38.3%14.5K$5,540hcHo…uk6p
41mYESPM38.5%15.9K$6,112cMqg…f3sx
41mNOJUP37.1%945$3518H8k…cK5N
46mNOJUP37.1%4.0K$1,480VCdx…oE1e
46mNOPM37.7%195$73nv6N…U586
49mNOPM37.2%5.1K$1,908DNLR…8GHp
50mNOKAL37.1%510$189fifs…vm8q
52mYESPM37.4%13.1K$4,882CnuX…RN8N
52mYESKAL38.0%140$5356WW…Qq2G
54mYESPM38.3%775$297H5He…7Vw3
55mYESPM37.7%10.8K$4,0896YQj…zY1f
55mNOJUP37.1%760$282y5yf…Bi5k
59mNOKAL38.0%5.9K$2,243REEG…eYSG
59mNOHL38.1%11.1K$4,2216Wkm…VjGE
1hYESKAL37.3%3.8K$1,407aCsB…ngcg
1hYESHL37.3%780$291zw9Z…4314
1hNOHL37.1%445$165hH3y…vnY3
1hYESKAL38.3%16.9K$6,452QuJr…qX5J
1hNOPM37.6%3.5K$1,300Aq9X…wuyy
1hNOJUP36.7%555$204XQpy…KxnR
1hYESKAL37.2%11.0K$4,1024gJo…UqTN
4
Not connected
TIF
USDC
Best executionsaves 58 bps
Avg price37.34¢
Shares267.81
Max payout$267.81
Potential profit+$167.81
Est. slippage / fee0 bps · $0.20

routes to Jupiter Predict · 4 venues compared

Security & Audit
87
Insider33/100
Wash23/100
Creator0%
Liq Depth$8.3M
high reliability Clear wording binary
4 venues connected$8.3M liquidity
Resolution: Coinbase BTC-USD daily closecrypto
Terminal — Soldex