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Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bpWill the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bp
CR

Will a spot XRP ETF see net inflows above $1B in its first quarter?

Consensus45.9%
Best YES45.8%KAL
Divergence27 bps
24h Volume$241.6K
Liquidity$706.6K
Resolvesclosed
Venues2
PolymarketPM46.0%
KalshiKAL45.8%BEST
Consensus45.9%24h Vol$241.6KBestKAL 45.8%
AgeSideVenuePriceSharesTotalTrader
3sNOKAL45.1%545$2463B1K…7vog
48sNOPM46.2%1.3K$620j24P…85Uh
2mYESKAL45.9%16.8K$7,714z6AT…Y89P
2mNOKAL45.3%20.7K$9,3649Kk1…xTNZ
4mNOPM46.7%1.6K$742Hi8u…pETw
5mNOKAL45.1%80$36VP6X…AUf9
8mNOPM46.1%3.5K$1,633fX5j…ovQa
10mYESKAL46.0%25$111WUN…xyUL
13mYESPM46.1%1.3K$615oHLR…9TAE
14mYESKAL46.3%20.4K$9,442jfL9…huam
16mYESPM46.5%5.0K$2,330YDcu…cqQ6
17mNOPM45.8%1.5K$6869mSY…1TMc
19mYESPM45.9%4.5K$2,051Sq1X…vYYW
19mYESKAL46.1%4.3K$1,9637bjn…BpP3
19mYESKAL45.8%350$160HJYN…V98p
22mYESKAL45.4%8.3K$3,783ZBfZ…ASsS
22mYESKAL45.1%225$101VJCX…urNE
23mNOKAL46.0%50$23daJ5…EsSW
26mNOKAL46.0%830$382gZUK…Ab91
29mNOKAL46.2%3.8K$1,749vk3Z…5eGU
31mNOPM46.1%4.5K$2,075xxw3…2mkj
34mYESKAL46.5%12.9K$6,019nSUp…Gt9L
37mYESPM45.6%19.3K$8,780GzWM…c5z9
37mYESPM45.9%75$34vio6…9rhe
38mNOKAL45.4%45$20Yp51…pZsA
41mYESKAL45.5%15.7K$7,129SAWk…t8UF
42mYESPM46.8%21.2K$9,920RG5K…nM47
43mNOPM46.4%20.8K$9,641Fp3h…MPk9
45mYESPM45.9%155$71zj5b…svsv
45mYESPM46.6%19.7K$9,1814yS2…kwDb
50mNOKAL46.2%17.6K$8,143tVzv…8LYh
50mNOPM46.8%19.2K$9,0072tJ3…Fa7t
50mYESPM45.2%10.2K$4,6192jMP…wDFg
51mYESKAL46.5%20$9ESzZ…xfpa
52mYESKAL45.3%505$229Cveh…iMUH
54mYESPM45.7%20$9vNdQ…yejd
56mYESPM46.3%21.8K$10.1Kjo4w…Jt7a
1hYESPM45.8%6.5K$2,959bRSp…dqaW
1hNOPM45.8%225$103zrrW…NMrQ
1hYESPM45.5%20.9K$9,502KrqT…qUDT
1hYESPM46.3%165$76XRkY…tSM3
1hYESPM45.4%155$70a98i…isYm
1hYESKAL45.6%75$34WZeX…7wfH
1hYESKAL45.9%850$390C62m…FgDw
1hNOPM46.5%410$191pPvM…6ZTu
1hYESPM45.5%17.7K$8,035WjcT…SpgZ
1hYESPM45.4%15.0K$6,7875GCv…4bev
1hNOKAL45.9%3.8K$1,745SHuW…5Z86
1hNOPM46.6%2.5K$1,168Safg…PByg
1hNOPM46.1%1.5K$701FGDX…QMKx
1hNOKAL45.5%20$9sFQ5…dTth
1hYESKAL46.1%2.3K$1,0398JNS…ftf5
1hNOPM46.0%15.3K$7,057cwYV…MoKf
1hNOKAL45.2%20.5K$9,282dM3Y…mXMA
1hNOPM46.2%25$12ZMZU…Fzz7
1hYESKAL45.2%4.4K$1,968HrkW…YVYT
1hNOPM46.0%980$451EYTe…bxjB
1hNOKAL45.3%12.2K$5,524BTj8…bPuV
1hNOPM45.5%40$18oPXP…u4EL
1hNOKAL45.3%25$119eGJ…xxdu
2
Not connected
TIF
USDC
Best executionsaves 27 bps
Avg price45.76¢
Shares218.53
Max payout$218.53
Potential profit+$118.53
Est. slippage / fee0 bps · $0.20

routes to Kalshi · 2 venues compared

Security & Audit
89
Insider41/100
Wash6/100
Creator0%
Liq Depth$706.6K
high reliability Clear wording binary
2 venues connected$706.6K liquidity
Resolution: Farside Investors flow datacrypto
Terminal — Soldex