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Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bpWill the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bp
EC

Will oil close below $55/bbl for five consecutive sessions?

Consensus23.6%
Best YES23.2%PM
Divergence80 bps
24h Volume$70.3K
Liquidity$220.7K
Resolves12d 05h 55m
Venues2
KalshiKAL24.0%
PolymarketPM23.2%BEST
Consensus23.6%24h Vol$70.3KBestPM 23.2%
AgeSideVenuePriceSharesTotalTrader
3sYESPM23.9%16.4K$3,932juNi…KZ7W
2mNOPM23.1%845$195PE78…CzHK
4mYESPM22.8%315$729e6T…FMv1
6mYESKAL24.1%3.7K$900efX4…md53
7mYESKAL23.5%10.5K$2,4675txu…5BNW
10mNOPM23.9%805$192iyZR…4CUW
15mYESPM23.0%475$109NhaL…bdvE
15mYESPM23.9%165$39jNQo…2r2w
16mNOPM23.6%3.4K$8044cuD…Fv6c
16mNOPM23.8%550$131LAMj…oHSP
17mNOPM23.8%95$23APsf…bErf
18mYESPM23.8%6.3K$1,50093qq…PaT9
18mNOKAL23.7%25$6ZjoQ…Dxmj
18mYESKAL23.4%2.9K$667ig2M…1L5h
23mNOKAL23.6%1.5K$346t5gn…rVJQ
24mNOPM22.8%3.2K$733oaoi…S6nd
28mNOKAL23.3%560$131XsH2…iXyh
32mNOPM23.2%145$34tWME…jGnP
33mYESKAL24.6%9.3K$2,282M7ig…A6sB
33mNOPM22.7%790$180rYcx…A6Cv
37mNOPM23.7%17.3K$4,107LQSy…qhv2
38mNOPM23.5%1.8K$432ANA1…gVyh
38mYESKAL24.0%650$1567vmH…q72h
39mNOPM22.9%6.6K$1,522ZiEm…8nUH
41mYESPM23.6%655$155HpCD…oYMD
41mYESPM22.7%280$63PBnv…yV2y
41mYESKAL23.4%1.6K$365gmUH…R1fz
43mNOKAL23.4%17.1K$4,017qoQP…npRa
44mYESKAL24.0%3.9K$946zxcv…6JcK
46mYESKAL24.6%170$42PnGP…UkuN
46mNOPM23.5%2.3K$530aWCr…CuTr
50mYESPM23.2%1.3K$299FnEa…FT3A
51mYESKAL24.5%18.2K$4,455NvA1…7tA8
55mNOPM22.8%385$88u8Q9…G3ot
55mYESKAL24.1%20$5kbtW…VC1n
56mNOPM23.4%2.6K$617U8uh…hsZa
1hNOPM23.6%1.6K$370B7mZ…nXtK
1hYESKAL24.3%3.4K$831fqhG…M24X
1hYESKAL23.9%2.7K$640mRL5…ezVm
1hYESKAL24.0%10.0K$2,408noPd…fnbe
1hYESKAL24.3%16.2K$3,9376yre…cJnF
1hYESPM23.5%50$129tRk…K8zC
1hNOPM23.6%9.7K$2,287ABmQ…AxvZ
1hYESPM23.6%185$44phc3…AccJ
1hNOKAL24.6%5.5K$1,356Em3T…pNtw
1hYESKAL24.6%1.7K$41128X2…YZb9
1hNOPM23.9%18.4K$4,414vMyd…46bL
1hYESKAL23.6%7.5K$1,772RHhr…YkqL
1hYESKAL23.4%2.0K$475B8ij…gPjt
1hYESPM22.8%375$85QLZf…rqxP
1hYESPM23.6%14.6K$3,454SicY…N1Yn
1hNOPM23.8%2.1K$508Ym7q…XaZq
1hYESPM22.5%18.0K$4,056pAtv…f4qV
1hNOPM22.8%16.6K$3,789Dzn3…kpB6
1hNOPM23.9%285$6875TR…bYHB
1hYESPM22.8%2.4K$546aADQ…5ufa
1hNOPM23.8%45$11fQd9…1ySy
1hNOPM23.4%40$9eDid…hHVs
1hNOKAL24.3%13.3K$3,242C37N…Cpfr
1hYESKAL24.1%1.8K$438nuN1…87JX
2
Not connected
TIF
USDC
Best executionsaves 80 bps
Avg price23.22¢
Shares430.66
Max payout$430.66
Potential profit+$330.66
Est. slippage / fee0 bps · $0.20

routes to Polymarket · 2 venues compared

Security & Audit
91
Insider29/100
Wash9/100
Creator0%
Liq Depth$220.7K
high reliability Clear wording binary
2 venues connected$220.7K liquidity
Resolution: NYMEX WTI settlementeconomics
Terminal — Soldex