Trending
Will the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bpWill the Fed cut rates at the next FOMC meeting?68.8%168bpWill BTC close above $150,000 on December 31, 2026?37.8%58bpWill the incumbent party hold the House majority in the 2026 midterms?40.2%99bpWill US headline CPI print below 2.5% year-over-year?52.6%159bpWill ETH reclaim a $10,000 spot price before 2027?29.1%175bpWill the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?46.8%157bpWill there be a formal ceasefire agreement signed before July 2026?27.4%78bpWill the US federal government shut down before March 31, 2026?34.3%170bpWill Manchester City win the Premier League this season?44.4%26bpWill Nvidia report data center revenue above $45B in a single quarter?63.1%28bpWill SOL flip ETH by market cap before 2028?12.9%37bpWill a frontier lab release a model scoring above 90% on SWE-bench Verified?56.8%70bp
EC
Will the S&P 500 post a 10% drawdown from its all-time high?
Score 86
Consensus46.8%
Best YES45.9%HL
Divergence157 bps
24h Volume$865.3K
Liquidity$2.3M
Resolves32d 05h 56m
Venues3
Markets38
2 watched
Signals
…0